Not surprisingly at all, these types of things are reported by alien abductees. Theres bound to be some sort of infrastructure for this, especially since it is a global phenomenon and since having the staff of the establishment where you want to disappear someone on your side or having infiltrated the school which your potential targets attend would make everything much easier. If some sort of targeted infrasound, microwave, or EM-based device is used, I bet you can make someone feel unwell at a distance, or make them hallucinate, or start behaving irrationally. Clearly, a person drunk or out of it enough to fall into water and drown is not going to take care to avoid security cameras and potential witnesses at the point of entering the water. Cherry-picking in this context would be for example assuming that Bigfoot is taking all these people, and then looking for all the cases in which the missing person seems to have been mysteriously abducted, and ONLY such cases. Among these (for this case) are canine units are unable to track, a sudden weather event, disability or illness, time of disappearance, and near water. When I say strange, what I mean is that, for starters, all of the usual suspects have been ruled out, like animal predation, human crime, voluntary disappearance, drowning, etc. Missing 411: The U.F.O. Think of reading a missing persons newspaper section with key adjectives sprinkled in. Which makes you think what could have happened to those who were not returned. The proportion of the two should be inverse. How do you infuse high amounts of drugs into a body quickly and stealthily (or extract all of the blood, for that matter)? Moreover, again ironically, there are many other both genetically and culturally much older groups. Or I guess you could have built up your whole infrastructure before mankind developed science, or you could be hiding in natural habitats like national forests or parks, so no construction would be needed at all. The reason why amnesia always seems contrived in TV shows and movies when used more than minimally is that it is rare in real life. This is one of the profile points that may have a completely mundane explanation, which could be proven. I certainly intend to investigate this phenomenon further, as well as a range of other things that I may write about in the future. Interestingly, and horrifyingly, the screams and howls recorded in the case of Henry McCabe, who was found dead without any apparent cause, do resemble the noises made by people who are tazed. Neurology-based research and technology would also help explain why the causes of death are so difficult to identify in many of these cases. For that reason, what you need to focus on are any exceptional, unique, or odd attributes that ideally didnt have to show up at all, or that would make someone a logical target for a predator, even if you dont fully understand what that predator is getting out of it. Granted, Elisa Lam is a rare name, so its a case of a rare name of a test that is the same as a human name, which was the same as a rare name of a person who died unusually, while the test was being used at the time and place where they died. Scott Schumacher Without giving much away, the first messages that you put on the screen I believe are the thread you meant to weave into this movie..so that it could "shake the tree" so to speak. At most, they managed to say that someone is following them, but not exactly who or where they are, or if they described a specific location, they were already gone within moments (if the location they gave was accurate in the first place). At the same time, however, getting as many people to know and think about this is key, as it directly defeats the main objectives of the hypothetical adversary (remaining hidden and keeping potential targets unaware). Hunters have been disappearing from North American wildlands for hundreds of years, many without leaving a trace. This is another strong profile point. Again without anyone seeing the body get in. Missing 411: The Hunted is a unique documentary. Dave may not be the best scientist or statistician, he may have lied or cheated in his life at least once or twice, and he was trying to find evidence for the existence of Bigfoot (plural) before he was approached to look into missing people in national parks. Some of these factors are inherently unusual, requiring at the very least a sudden psychotic break or a chain of bad decisions, while others are unusual through the rate at which they correlate with these cases, and yet others seem utterly impossible all by themselves. If there already was a history of people getting lost or being found dead hundreds of years ago, maybe there always were hunting grounds of local predators, maybe there always was a settlement of local wild men, or maybe something about the natural environment itself was always potentially deadly to visitors. Once you come across one, you know that following it will get you back to civilization within at most a day. Which brings me to a statistical issue that I think Dave got wrong. If you couple it with the fact that dogs fail (or refuse) to track the victims in most of these cases, theres some slight amusing possibility that I personally like to call dogspiracy. Former police detective David Paulides was initially brought on to investigate the circumstances around the many mysterious disappearances - here he presents the haunting true stories of hunters experiencing the unexplainable.Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four . Which are great, so please, Dave, do more of that. On November 15, 2015, Thomas Messick Sr., aged 82, an ex-paratrooper, walked into the woods south of Brant Lake in NY State, to hunt for deer and was never seen again. Its also unusual for such high percentage of adults to remember what happened, but then not report it, to not even make anything up, which would be the only normal alternative explanation. If an area has been searched dozens of times, chances are the search was sufficient. Maybe its not used on or as effective for children, either because it would certainly kill them, or because their brains arent fully developed yet. In this light, it would only be strange if the person who felt unwell then traveled huge distance, which would be incongruous, or if the person was later found alive and healthy, but with no memory of what happened. Some have their remains found miles away from where they disappeared from, others are gone without a trace. After all, thats how a sudden health crisis or mental break would start. Dogs arent machines, which inevitably means they must have some sort of rate of error, some better and worse days, while scent can be affected by environmental conditions. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. As the investigations expanded to include National Forests, David Paulides and his team began to find cases of missing hunters that fit their profile points. If you could use portals to get in and out of them, that would help a lot, but all the technology you need is a camouflaged door. If theres an intelligent perpetrator behind any Missing 411 disappearances, they are likely to know when to lie in wait for people at the times and dates when theres the most opportunity. Paulides has classified over 1,440 missing persons cases under the Missing411 label. Like the case of Zigmund Adamski criminal activity was not ruled out, which rules it out as a Missing 411 case, but it was not ruled out precisely because there was evidence of foul play. Missing 411 is a series of books and films, which document cases of people who have gone missing in national parks and elsewhere, and assert that these cases are unusual and mysterious, contrary to data analysis which suggests that they are not actually statistically mysterious or even unexpected. Similarly, I would also like to see a chart of Missing 411 cases by date of disappearance, or ideally both date and time, so that theres more to compare again with normal disappearances, and in the case of dates, also with tourist and hunting seasons, like any numbers of how many tourists or hunters can be found in the forest at what time of year. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. An isolated concurrence so unlikely that its suspicious by itself. Given that the smallest useful sample is about 100 people, it would have to be for a whole U.S. state at least, or for all national parks in a country, since the largest cluster in the Yosemite is currently in the 50s, I believe. But I think theres more to it than that. Or there at least isnt enough evidence for any of these. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. Like, you just wont believe how vastly, hugely, mind-bogglingly unlikely it is, but thats all that is unlikely, not impossible. There are so many comparisons that need to be made, and for that you need numbers. The. Former . Support me on Patreon: http://patreon.com/nartimar. There is a chance that the person will not want to admit a bout of irrational behavior, but they should not have amnesia, unless a blow to the head, extreme psychological trauma, or very specific chemicals were involved. Beyond a mere lack of explanation, Paulides has put together a profile which includes a specific list of factors, most of which tend to be present in all of these cases. It would either mean that Jon Oliver was even more right than he thought when he was describing the current sorry state of how especially coroners (the ones without any actual medical training) operate in the United States, or it would mean that some of the Missing 411 profile points actually function as a cause of or significant contributing factor to the sudden adult death syndrome. What I would say does seem obviously wrong are for example the cases of water-related disappearances and deaths in urban areas, where the young white male students figure in almost all of them. Anything to do with poop may be inherently silly, but as recent advances in medical science show, gut microbiome is essential for our physical health and it interacts with our brain, affecting our mood. In the documentary Missing 411 The Hunted, about Hunters who vanish he mentions how the FBI may show up to document the cases but as they don't investigate missing persons cases they are doing something in which they won't reveal. Taken together, it is safe to assume that the men in question have something going on with their appearance, like advanced camouflage or perception-altering ability. Perhaps an evidence of that could be uncovered for some of the cases, for example by checking any street footage for suspicious vehicles outside of the victims residence. The question is why would there be high-tech kidnappers, possibly using also advanced camouflage or noise cancellation technology, snatching random people sneakily in the forests. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. Much like it is with Daves trust in the ability of searchers to conduct proper searches, Dave also doesnt question the ability of canines to find scent. If we can already think of that, and undoubtedly would do it ourselves given the opportunity, its not crazy. Sometimes, high amounts of alcohol or GHB were found in the blood of the deceased, but without any clear idea how they were ingested. Perhaps the only type of thing that Dave tends to do thats somewhat less than ideal is that in his descriptions of the cases, he sometimes omits facts that point toward more mundane explanations. As for the specific weird scenarios that were reported, assuming the reports were accurate, they seem to be consistent with there being an organized perpetrator. Paulides also keeps mentioning that he doesnt question the thoroughness of the searches or the dedication and skill of the searchers, or effectiveness of canines or helicopters with FLIR. These are mainly the German connection, the religion connection, and the military connection, or a combination of two or all three. And thats just the first step. And maybe nothing is. Maybe you did notice and track them more easily because they had colorful clothing, but then, once you got them, you removed it so that it would now be harder to notice and track you carrying them. I think the issue is that Dave by default rules out cases in which they would have made an error. Then it begins to be odd. Not many things need to be the same for all or most unexplained cases, and they will be objective facts. Thats definitely the weirdest scenario. Sure, random things happen, even extremely unlikely things. Mostly, they just managed to say something like oh my gosh, or my phone is about to go dead, or gave out unsettling noises. The available data that connects the water-related cases together (mainly the ones of students being found dead in water in some college cities) makes them somehow more inexplicable than the cases of people who got lost in a forest and were never found (cases in which all data is missing). But I myself am very interested in what could be called the science of coincidence, so lets talk about what coincidences may mean for a bit. In other words, youd expect these two things to correlate. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. In a normal sample of deaths, youd expect roughly 500 unexplained deaths in 500,000. The most low-tech version that I can think of, some combination of taser and GHB, would clearly be inadvisable for use on children and should kill some people. Without that, we simply dont know if any of it is significant. Missing 411: The Hunted. Maybe there are more younger and older people visiting the parks in general, maybe its more of a white or specifically German cultural thing in general, maybe people with disabilities, geniuses, or athletes should be over-represented. When all you understand couldnt have happened, it points to none of that. The other type of accounts shared by children indicates the existence of facilities. Or to put it another way, a pattern of correlations is when the same things keep happening more frequently than they should by chance, while a pattern of coincidences is when unique, extremely unlikely events keep happening in connection to a person, event, phenomenon, etc. NR. And even in the absence of that, the Czech Republic is crisscrossed with a network of marked tourist trails, with marks dotting trees and rocks along almost all trails that exist in our forests. For this reason alone, this appears to be a strong profile point. On the other hand, there are some data points that indicate that theres something unusual going on during the disappearances with the dogs. The latter option seems especially plausible, since in none of the recorded calls were any of the victims able to relay any coherent, useful information. Beyond the basic scientific considerations, its important to understand that we may be doing research here against an intelligent adversary, which complicates things. Given that this is perhaps the most consistent profile point, it could be a key one, but there are some nuanced considerations that should be made. They even mentioned a hunter explaining that some hunters follow bad weather intentionally to catch more prey. Here, you could have 500 in a 1,000. Who knows, maybe thats why the urban disappearances now tend to be targeted at young, physically and mentally fit people. No, the evidence is the only thing that matters. Most of this was pretty much what I expected having some idea of what David Paulides has investigated but if you have Amazon Prime and are interested, call this up and go to about about an hour and 15 minutes in and listen to the audio these guys recorded. Cases with positive evidence of the impossible (facts gleaned from autopsies, missing being found in unlikely places, etc.) This is a fairly strong profile point, given that there is no good explanation, conventional or otherwise, for why or how any of this should happen at all. If the person was seen, say, falling of a cliff, then that would be an explanation, just like it should be easier to find someone when youd seen where exactly they entered the forest, at what speed, and in what state of mind. Its not a reason to start hating a person and dismiss everything they have to say about everything else, its a reason to start talking to them. If they differ, now, that would be interesting, especially if the difference is major. This profile point doesnt sound necessarily unusual to me, since in any scenario, it has to be much more likely that a missing persons case will remain unexplained when the person disappeared while being alone and out of sight, while any intelligent perpetrator would wait for that moment. Making an error on the part of Missing 411 perpetrators means that people wont go missing, that there will be evidence that will be interpreted as human crime (because what else would be a serious suspicion of the police in any scenario), or the person will see and report things that will make him or her sound mentally ill, and perhaps even diagnosed. Specifically, when, where, or how they died. In the Daves profile, whoever the perpetrators are seem to be perfect, but no one is 100% effective. With Daniela Salmen, John Miles, Adam Palmer, Gail Star. Here I have to give credit to Seriah Azkath and the Snake Brothers, who pointed out the likely direction of causality regarding this profile point on a recent Where Did the Road Go show. And even if the name is just related to the remoteness, more remote and hard-to-get areas would mean the most difficult search environments. Hes not putting forward his theories in the books, only data. This profile point may be one of the more normal ones, as it makes a lot of sense that if you have a dog with you and the dog for whatever reason decides to run off into the forest, you chasing after it can rather easily lead to you getting lost. If youre convinced that it cant be any of the exotic explanations, then what is any possible explanation? The people who were disappeared while on the phone would only be different in the sense that they must have been targeted after they were already outside. People make errors. This type of research is frequently used in not only social science in order to formulate hypotheses, or in this case a criminal profile. Not only that, the burn marks were treated by an unidentifiable ointment and the cause of death was a massive heart attack. But if theyre after exceptional (and therefore potentially valuable) targets, they cant hide that, or even necessarily be able to do without specific targets, however unlikely those target people are to get lost or succumb to the elements. Director Michael DeGrazier Writers Michael DeGrazier David Paulides Stars David Paulides Beverly Messick Rob Messick The main two cases involving multiple odd coincidences are the disappearance of Dennis Martin and the death of Elisa Lam. There is mounting evidence that states of mind affect probability of external events, making it fluctuate. With all that said, it would be interesting to take all of the people with the German origin within the Missing 411 sample and check whether their ancestors come from all over Germany, or if they all come from a specific region or regions inside of Germany (or Austria or Switzerland). Yes, you are supposed to be thinking of Dirk Gently. I have never heard of a single case in the history of my country of anyone going missing mysteriously while picking mushrooms. On the internet. Something that could be invisible and undetectable without very specific instruments, but nevertheless entirely normal and real. It would be easier to do in a city setting, where there are at least roads all over the place, but in that case, I would expect someone at some point seeing some of the kidnappings. My critical point of view is that this is a nice sentiment, and youd want to have searchers with this attitude looking for you, but there is a number of conceivable conventional scenarios in which it would be very possible that the person would be exceedingly difficult to find or unlikely to be found. Hunters have been disappearing from North American wildlands for hundreds of years, many without leaving a trace. Taken all together, as I will try to explain shortly, no single normal or paranormal hypothesis explains all of the cases, meaning that either multiple are at play, or a one so crazy that no one, including Dave, has even been able to conceive of it yet. A) the terrain is incredibly difficult to search 100% due to rocks, deadfall etc. The only way how to prove that a synchronicity (coincidence that is manipulative) is taking place, as far as I can tell, is to guess at the logic behind it and then try to predict not necessarily what specific coincidence will happen, but at least the incidence aspect that it will happen, or the time or rate at which coincidences will be happening in relation to a particular person or phenomenon. While the possibility of pure fear killing a person is medically speaking speculative at best, extreme fear can certainly cause a lethal heart attack in a person with a heart that is in a less than stellar condition. In the case Elisa Lams death, around the time of her death, NIH was using a test called LAM-ELISA in the area to deal with a tuberculosis outbreak. And even if the issue was some natural phenomenon, state of mind or mentality can affect awareness and behavioral responses. If you simulate a physical world and you want to interfere with it without rewriting natural laws all the time, you use any fuzziness or ambiguity within them, like chaotic probability, to essentially cheat. Documentary. It is a significant step forward in the understanding of the missing phenomena that adds several new elements never before identified. Especially if the body wasnt even found by dedicated searchers, but by random hikers or passersby after the search was over. Missing 411- North America and Beyond, 2013. It should never be tens of percent. To me, if you get past the "oh-my-gosh-it's-horrible-what's-happening" surface feelings, folks might . Which sometimes happens in the Missing 411 cases, without any good reason. Yes, under these specific circumstances, things like temporal displacement start sounding more likely than dozens of searchers missing an obvious corpse dozens of times. Conventionally speaking, this should be a waste of time, since it basically amounts to following coin tosses. You have no reason to want their poop, specifically. In either of these scenarios, the result will look the same. Maybe, just maybe, dogs are behind it all. There are also plenty of weird, and weirdly specific, clothing-related instructions in the fairy lore, like that in order to ward them off, you should turn your clothing inside out. Some of the cases that meet the profile criteria do hint at abduction by neither an animal, nor a human, but others do not. Open for submissions from anyone with something to say about where were headed or the nature of time or history. We were lost for better part of an afternoon in spring after foolishly diving into the thick forest. If you are some sort of wildman creature, you may want to do something primal, like hunt someone to eat them, kidnap someone as a mate or a kid to raise as part of your tribe, get rid of a witness, or attack someone for fun or because they did something to offend you. Missing 411: The Hunters The Missing 411 series initially began as an exploration of strange disappearances in America's national parks. Pretty much the only non-exotic explanations are that the person was carried, or put into a vehicle and driven or flown away, and there were cases of people too heavy to be carried by anything normal, while there tend to be no tracks or noises indicating either of these options taking place. While sudden arrhythmia can account for some of the Missing 411 cases, there are just too many. But its true that on the other, more paranoid hand, if the storms are somehow being caused (or foreseen and taken advantage of) to thwart searches, them succeeding in thwarting searches is not a disqualifying factor. For this reason, the inability of trackers to track the person should only be considered significant when other, positive evidence is present, like when the body shows up later in a previously searched area, or when the trackers actually do find something thats harder to find than the person, like their matchbox, but not any of the much larger objects the person was carrying. A home for weird ideas, future visions, and mad ramblings. Finally, if you think about it, its important to understand that human clothing can be confusing to a highly intelligent, highly scientifically advanced species who has studied us for ages. If the point was that you need to work with or study specific genetic markers, given that Germans are, ironically, one of the least genetically pure groups in the world. This can be a standalone subset of cases. If there is evidence that something weird was going on with the dog, thats the part that should be focused on, in my opinion presence of inexplicable evidence is always more interesting than a correlation alone. These people should not be considered reliable witnesses, but they should have some witness testimonies to offer. Also, in case you make a mistake and blow your cover, humans will be far less likely to torch a natural treasure to get you. Yosemite happens to have the highest total of Missing 411 cases of any National Park. I do agree with Dave that it is safe to assume that places typically get named for a reason, especially if the name sounds ominous, like Devils, Demons, or Hells something or other. With all the insults out of the way, lets look at the profile points. Which sort of plays into the possibility that Dave often mentions of people dying essentially of fear, like when being kidnapped and burned by what may seem like aliens, even if it were human agents. Sometimes to children too young to be able to dress or undress themselves. Assuming that Bigfoot doesnt exist, this is still a completely reasonable activity. Mental illness or voluntary disappearance does not appear to be the cause. Its unlikely that all such witnesses could be successfully bribed or threatened with all of the impromptu recordings being destroyed. There is at least one case in which the dog was proven to have been almost certainly fed (venison), which might indicate some perpetrator may have been more respectful of the life of the dog than that of the human target, as well as there are cases of dogs likely not having spent time in the area where they got lost, like the one dehydrated dog found in a swampland, or a number of cases of dogs being found in a surprisingly good condition. Thankfully, though it would explain why you would remove someones clothing, we can rule out the sexual motive, as theres no evidence that this type of attack is what the Missing 411 cases are about. This means that this profile point is only interesting in combination with other data points that involve positive evidence. However, they may not follow that perfectly. When you have such data, a lot of it, about a state of an object, and it doesnt make any sense how it got there from its last known state, what youve got is a proper anomaly. Speaking of bizarre and inexplicable, these books and documentaries describe a growing number of cases (now in the low thousands) of people going missing or being found under strange circumstances. Its not at all hard to imagine that in this case, the person got suddenly kidnapped into a flying vehicle and stripped by some sort of non-human entities, was aware of it (which perhaps wasnt supposed to happen) and panicked, burned himself while trying to escape the vehicle or fight the captors, got a heart attack, and died. But even then, dogs can simply fail in some cases, meaning that this profile point alone is never truly a conclusive proof of something unusual going on with the case. What I can speculate on is why any type of perpetrator would have an operational range centered around large bodies of water or rock formations, or national forests and parks for that matter. Connection: Directed by David Paulides. The religion and military connection may also be connected to a specific cultural grudge, but what they imply to me is that maybe any targeting would be more of an issue of neurology rather than genetics.
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